Anybody who has been following the 2019 Grand National Odds will know that Tiger Roll is the favourite. His odds of 7/2 are potentially the shortest any horse will have ever gone off in the history of the race.
And with Rathvinden currently on 8/1 and Vintage Clouds on odds of 11/1, there really isn’t a lot of value at the top end of the market. However, rarely do Grand National winners come home on such short odds. In fact, only three favourites have won the race in the last 20 years.
In the last 10 years alone, we have had one favourite and one 100/1 shot win the race. Five more have won at starting odds of 25/1 or more. Taking that into account and looking at Paddy Power’s odds for the race, 30 of the 2019 Grand National Runners are priced at 25/1 or more.
And Paddy Power is paying out each-way bets to six places. That means if your horse doesn’t win but finishes in 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th or 6th place you will get money back if you bet each-way.
Statistically, a few of the higher priced horses will make it into the top six of the race. So which of them has the potential to do well on Saturday at 5.15pm?
I’ve have gone through all of the runners taking into account their odds, age, seasonal runs, weight and form over the longer distances. Plus 8 of the last winners had at least four seasonal runs on the run up to their Grand National. And none of them had unseated their jockey in the winning season.
So with all of that we are left with three National runners, on bigger prices, who could run a good race on Saturday:
- Walk In The Mill – 28/1
- General Principle – 40/1
- Ultragold – 66/1
Of course, this is the Grand National so you often throw statistics out the window and just pick one because you like the name!
Or you can look at how some of them have done over the Grand National fences in the past. Valsuer Lido and Vieux Lion Rouge have both previously raced and finished in the top 10!