Age
8 to 10 is the optimal age for a Grand National winner.
It was a thrill to see Rachael Blackmore make history last year and all eyes will be on her again in the 2022 Grand National. She has some tough competition with some terrific runners set to challenge.
We will pick the runners we think can run a great race on April 9th 2022. We’ll also add in a few Grand National tips from the top pundits and tipsters around the UK and Ireland – to give you even more options.
SNOW LEOPARDESS
Snow Leopardess is in fantastic form, having already triumphed at Aintree in the Becher Chase. The stunning looking grey mare will undoubtedly be a popular betting choice on Grand National day. The race has been won by 13 mares over its long history, can Snow Leopardess pounce for the girls in 2022? Maybe.
NO: 31 | FORM: 46-111 | AGE: 10 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | JOCKEY: A. Coleman | TRAINER: C. Longsdon
MIGHTY THUNDER
Mighty Thunder should be well suited for the Grand National distance. His win in the Scottish Grand National last year puts him in a favourable position to make a statement at Aintree. However, he pulled up in his last two outings which gives cause for concern. There is no doubt that this is a risky pick, but odds reflect that.
NO: 29 | FORM: 21-4PP | AGE: 9 | WEIGHT: 10-10 | JOCKEY: D. Fox | TRAINER: L. Russell
BURROWS SAINT
You still have a chance if you drew the Willie Mullins trained horse in the office sweepstakes. He rarely finishes outside the top four, given the fact that many bookies are paying E/W places to the fifth and sixth-placed runners – it would seem like a decent punt.
NO: 8 | FORM: 24-323 | AGE: 9 | WEIGHT: 11-05 | JOCKEY: P. Townend | TRAINER: W. Mullins
DEISE ABA
One blip this season in the Welsh National but otherwise has notched up three second place finishes. Deise Aba ticks a lot of boxes and could make for a decent each-way bet.
NO: 34 | FORM: P-22P2 | AGE: 9 | WEIGHT: 10-08 | JOCKEY: T. O’Brien | TRAINER: P. Hobbs
Unlikely to mount a serious challenge.
Could place with a slice of luck.
A strong eachway chance and could even win it.
Odds listed on this page are taken from Paddy Power on 09/04/22. Check the odds with your Bookmaker before placing a bet as fluctuations can occur. Full Terms and Conditions for the promotional bet offers can be found on the respective websites – please read them before signing up.
WHO WILL WIN?
Who will win the 2022 Grand National? It’s the question we’re all asking, and without the aid of a crystal ball we’re all forced to study the form, statistics and trends to help us find the winner.
Grand National winners, and those horses who place, generally fall into certain trends. I look at those trends and rule out those who don’t quite fit the criteria although I always tip one or two outsiders who have the potential to defy the odds.
On this page we will feature the horses who we think can run a big race. For now though it’s too early to speculate so come back closer to the time!
KARL HEDLEY - TIPSTER
ANY SECOND NOW
DELTA WORK
TWO FOR GOLD
DEATH DUTY
BURROWS SAINT
TEMPLEGATE - THE SUN
DELTA WORK
ESCARIA TEN
FIDDLERONTHEROOF
KILDISART
MARCUS ARMYTAGE - TELEGRAPH
FORTESCUE
SNOW LEOPARDESS
ENJOY D’ALLEN
LONGHOUSE POET
RUBY WALSH
ANY SECOND NOW
LONGHOUSE POET
DELTA WORK
FIDDLERONTHEROOF
FRANK HICKEY - PADDY POWER
MIGHTY THUNDER
FORTESCUE
DISCORAMA
TOP VILLE BEN
SAM TURNER - DAILY MAIL
LONGHOUSE POET
ANY SECOND NOW
ESCARIA TEN
ENJOY D’ALLEN
Tom Segal - Racing Post
COMMODORE
LONGHOUSE POET
DELTA WORK
PAUL KEALY - RACING POST
KILDISART
MIGHTY THUNDER
Finding A Winner
Here you can read a little more about how we narrow down the field of runners to find a potential winner. That’s not to say that finding the winner is easy, the race still remains one of the most open contests in sport. But with the application of statistics and trends we can discount runners who don’t fit into the historical winners profile. Usually this leaves use with a shortlist of 10 or fewer horses who have the ‘right stuff’ to win at Aintree.
Age
The first criteria is the Runner’s age. The Aintree Grand National fences require a level of maturity from the horses that usually comes with age and experience. So first off, eliminate all of those horses that are younger than eight or older than 11 years of age. In the last 20 years, 19 of the winners have come from that age group. Only Amberleigh House house bucked the trend in 2004 when winning at the ripe old age of 12.
Weight
The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair crack at winning the race. Good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability. Historically horses carrying over 11 stone 3 pounds have struggled to overcome this handicap. Only four horses in the last 20 years have managed it and they were Tiger Roll in 2019, Many Clouds in 2015, Neptune Collonges in 2012 and Don’t Push It in 2010.
In fact, 6 of the last 10 winners have weighed less than 11-01 so before you place a bet, bare that in mind when you’re trying to reduce your selections.
Aintree Factor
It really does help if the horse you have backed has previously run and done well at Aintree, preferably over the Grand National Fences. So whether they’ve run the race in the past or taken part in the Becher Chase or the Topham Chase, if they’ve successfully navigated the course and finished the race then it proves they have the jumping ability to make it around again.
Form
When it comes to form, you need to look closely at how a horse has been performing for the last couple of seasons. Those who consistently get pulled up, fall, unseat their riders or refuse need to be taken out of the equation. The 2014 winner, Pineau De Re had only fallen once in the two years prior to his big win and had never pulled up, refused or unseated his jockey at any point in his entire career.
Battlegroup, on the other hand, had Refused and Pulled-Up twice in his three races immediately prior to the National. So it wasn’t surprising news when he refused to race in the 2014 Grand National. He planted his feet at the starting line and wouldn’t budge! A huge disappointment for all those who backed him.
