2024 GRAND NATIONAL TIPS

Stat-Savvy Betting: Unearth Grand National Trends and Tips

WHO WILL WIN?

Who will win the 2024 Grand National? It’s the question we’re all asking, and without the aid of a crystal ball, we’re forced to study the form, statistics and trends.

By analyzing these factors, we can narrow down the likely contenders. But we're also keeping an eye on some dark horses that could surprise us all.

While it's too soon for definitive predictions, this page will spotlight horses that seem set for a standout performance. Stay tuned as we track the progress of these rising stars leading up to the race.

Aintree Countdown

GRAND NATIONAL 2024

13th April 4pm 

The 2024 Grand National will be held at Aintree Racecourse on Saturday, April 13th at 4pm. The Randox Health sponsored race is run over 4 miles 514 yards with 30 jumps over two circuits of the course.

0 days 00 hr 00 min 00 sc
Corach Rambler Horse

CORACH RAMBLER

4.5/5
16/1

JOCKEY: -

NO: - | FORM: U1-5411 | WEIGHT: - | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: L. RUSSELL

Lucinda Russell's star, Corach Rambler, clinched the Grand National in 2023. Currently the bookies' favourite, the question remains: will this champion rise to the challenge at Aintree once more?

Racing Silks for Grand National Runner

GAILLARD DU MESNIL

4.7/5
20/1

JOCKEY: -

NO: - | FORM: 21313- | WEIGHT: - | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: WP MULLINS

After a gutsy third-place finish in the last Grand National, Gaillard Du Mesnil is back with renewed vigor. With his proven ability to stay on strongly, he's certainly in the mix for the 2024 showdown

Antepost odds listed on this page are taken from Betfred on 06/02/2024. No horse is guaranteed a position in the race until the final declaration stage (11/04/2024). Check the odds with your Bookmaker before placing a bet, as fluctuations occur. Full Terms and Conditions for the promotional bet offers can be found on the respective websites – read them before you sign up.

Silks JP McManus - Grand National

I AM MAXIMUS

4.6/5
25/1

JOCKEY: -

NO: - | FORM: 22441- | WEIGHT: - | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: W P MULLINS

I Am Maximus has a knack for finishing in the money. After a triumphant run in the Irish Grand National in 2023, he's set to conquer Aintree's big fence. And much like his namesake from the Gladiator movie, he's here to declare, 'Are you not entertained?'

Bet Goodwin

BET GOODWIN NEW CUSTOMER OFFER

£100 FREE BET REFUNDS

(PERMANENT OFFERS)

18+ New UK customers only. If you place a win or each way single bet in any UK or Irish Horserace and your selection finishes second beaten by the official distance of a nose, places second beaten by the official distance of under half a length in a chase, falls at the last fence or hurdle when leading or finishes second and the SP of the winner is 50/1 or bigger (except the UK Grand National) we will refund the win part of losing stake as a free bet up to £100. Minimum stake to qualify is £10 win or £10ew. Credited within 24 hours. Full T&C's Apply – Click Through For Details. begambleaware.org. #ad. Please bet responsibly.

MORE GRAND NATIONAL TIPS

Grand National 2024 Tips from Newspapers, Tipsters and Racing Journalists.

Tipster

KARL HEDLEY

NO TIPS
NO TIPS
NO TIPS

The Sun

TEMPLEGATE

NO TIPS
NO TIPS
NO TIPS

Jockey

RUBY WALSH

NO TIPS
NO TIPS
NO TIPS

TV Pundit

ED CHAMBERLIN

NO TIPS
NO TIPS
NO TIPS

Betfred

BETFRED OFFER

BET £10 GET £40 IN BONUSES

New UK 18+ only. Register with promo code WELCOME40, Bet £10+ on Sports in one transaction. Get £30 Free Bets & £10 free spins within 10hrs of bet settlement. Bonuses expire 7 days after issue. Min odds, eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. begambleaware.org. #ad. Please bet responsibly.

FINDING A WINNER

Here you can read a little more about how we narrow down the field of runners to find a potential winner. That's not to say that finding the winner is easy, and the race still remains one of the most open contests in sport.

But with the application of statistics and trends, we can discount runners who don't fit into the historical winners profile. Usually, this leaves us with a shortlist of 10 or fewer horses with the ‘right stuff' to win at Aintree.

AGE

The first trend to focus on is the Runner's age. The Aintree Grand National fences require a level of maturity from the horses that usually comes with age and experience.

So first off, eliminate all of those horses that are younger than eight or older than ten. Seven out of the last ten winners has come from this age group. Only Noble Yeats (7), Auroras Encore (11) and Pineau De Re (11) have bucked this trend.

WEIGHT

The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair crack at winning the race. Good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability.

Historically horses carrying over 11 stone 3 pounds have struggled to overcome this handicap. Only four horses in the last 20 years have managed it, and they were Tiger Roll in 2019, Many Clouds in 2015, Neptune Collonges in 2012, and Don't Push It in 2010.

In fact, 8 of the last 10 winners have weighed 10-13 or less, so before you place a bet, keep that in mind when trying to reduce your selections.

AINTREE FACTOR

It really does help if the horse you have backed has previously run and done well at Aintree, preferably over the Grand National Fences.

So whether they’ve run the race in the past or taken part in the Becher Chase or the Topham Chase, if they’ve successfully navigated the course and finished the race, then it proves they have the jumping ability to make it around again.

FORM

When it comes to form, you need to look closely at how a horse has been performing for the last couple of seasons. Those who consistently get pulled up, fall, unseat their riders or refuse need to be removed from the equation.

The 2014 winner, Pineau De Re had only fallen once in the two years before his big win and had never pulled up, refused or unseated his jockey at any point in his entire career. 

Battlegroup, on the other hand, had Refused and Pulled-Up twice in his three races immediately before the National. So it wasn't surprising news when he refused to race in the 2014 Grand National. He planted his feet at the starting line and wouldn't budge! A huge disappointment for all those who backed him.

FANCY THE FAVOURITE?

Note that only 6 favourites have won in the last 25 years.

RECENT RUNNERS

Prioritise horses that have run within the last 55 days, as 94% of the last 31 winners fit this trend.

AVOID THE YOUNG GUNS

Avoid 7-year-olds, with the rare exception like Noble Yeats in 2022, they have a poor record in the race. Consider 8-year-olds, they have claimed 4 wins in the last 8 years.

CHELTENHAM FORM

Look for horses that have run at Cheltenham before heading to Aintree, they account for 12 of the last 31 winners. The last two winners ran in the Trophy Handicap Chase.

Start typing to see posts you are looking for.