2024 GRAND NATIONAL TIPS
Stat-Savvy Betting: Unearth Grand National Trends and Tips
WHO WILL WIN?
Who will win the 2024 Grand National? It’s the question we’re all asking, and without the aid of a crystal ball, we’re forced to study the form, statistics and trends.
By analyzing these factors, we can narrow down the likely contenders. But we're also keeping an eye on some dark horses that could surprise us all.
While it's too soon for definitive predictions, this page will spotlight horses that seem set for a standout performance. Stay tuned as we track the progress of these rising stars leading up to the race.
GRAND NATIONAL 2024
The 2024 Grand National will be held at Aintree Racecourse on Saturday, April 13th at 5.15pm. The Randox Health sponsored race is run over 4 miles 514 yards with 30 jumps over two circuits of the course.
GAILLARD DU MESNIL
Antepost odds listed on this page are taken from Paddy Power on 29/09/2023. No horse is guaranteed a position in the race until the final declaration stage (11/04/2024). Check the odds with your Bookmaker before placing a bet, as fluctuations occur. Full Terms and Conditions for the promotional bet offers can be found on the respective websites – read them before you sign up.
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MORE GRAND NATIONAL TIPS
Grand National 2024 Tips from Newspapers, Tipsters and Racing Journalists.
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FINDING A WINNER
Here you can read a little more about how we narrow down the field of runners to find a potential winner. That’s not to say that finding the winner is easy, and the race still remains one of the most open contests in sport. But with the application of statistics and trends, we can discount runners who don’t fit into the historical winners profile. Usually, this leaves us with a shortlist of 10 or fewer horses with the ‘right stuff’ to win at Aintree.
The first trend to focus on is the Runner’s age. The Aintree Grand National fences require a level of maturity from the horses that usually comes with age and experience. So first off, eliminate all of those horses that are younger than eight or older than ten. Seven out of the last ten winners have come from this age group. Only Noble Yeats (7), Auroras Encore (11) and Pineau De Re have bucked this trend.
The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair crack at winning the race. Good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability. Historically horses carrying over 11 stone 3 pounds have struggled to overcome this handicap. Only four horses in the last 20 years have managed it, and they were Tiger Roll in 2019, Many Clouds in 2015, Neptune Collonges in 2012, and Don’t Push It in 2010.
In fact, 8 of the last 10 winners have weighed 10-13 or less, so before you place a bet, keep that in mind when trying to reduce your selections.
It really does help if the horse you have backed has previously run and done well at Aintree, preferably over the Grand National Fences. So whether they’ve run the race in the past or taken part in the Becher Chase or the Topham Chase, if they’ve successfully navigated the course and finished the race, then it proves they have the jumping ability to make it around again.
When it comes to form, you need to look closely at how a horse has been performing for the last couple of seasons. Those who consistently get pulled up, fall, unseat their riders or refuse need to be removed from the equation. The 2014 winner, Pineau De Re had only fallen once in the two years before his big win and had never pulled up, refused or unseated his jockey at any point in his entire career.
Battlegroup, on the other hand, had Refused and Pulled-Up twice in his three races immediately before the National. So it wasn’t surprising news when he refused to race in the 2014 Grand National. He planted his feet at the starting line and wouldn’t budge! A huge disappointment for all those who backed him.