Age
8 to 10 is the optimal age for a Grand National winner.
Two years in a row we tipped up the Grand National winner – Tiger Roll! So who will be backing for the 2021 Grand National? We are eagerly watching all of the potential runners as they prepare for the big day.
With no Grand National in 2020, we know that the Grand National 2021 will be a huge event so here are some of the runners that we think can run a great race on April 10th 2021.
A very interesting 2021 Grand National prospect. Pulled up in the Irish Grand National but has since finished 2nd in the Becher Chase at Aintree before heading to Warwick to win a big race over 3m5f.
NO: 25 | FORM: 5P/21-2 | AGE: 9 | WEIGHT: 10-10 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | TRAINER: T. Lacey
Upset the Tiger Roll party at the Cheltenham Festival when he won the Glenfarclas Chase in fine style. A really superb long distance chaser that could seriously contend for the 2021 Grand National.
NO: 2 | FORM: 1111-4 | AGE: 7 | WEIGHT: 11-10 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | TRAINER: D. Cottin
Winner of the Midlands Grand National in March and the Welsh Grand National in December 2019, Potters Corner has stamina in bucket loads. Will need rain and soft ground to bring out the best in him but on the upside, he did win the Virtual Grand National!
NO: 43 | FORM: P011-37 | AGE: 11 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | TRAINER: C Williams
There was a lot of buzz around Discorama last season and with another year under his belt, he could be one to watch for the 2021 Grand National. He was third in the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival in 2020 and if he keeps up his decent form then expect his odds to fall if he gets an entry. He may also head to the Welsh National first so watch this space.
NO: 40 | FORM: 833-25 | AGE: 8 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | TRAINER: P. Nolan
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Unlikely to mount a serious challenge.
Could place with a slice of luck.
A strong eachway chance and could even win it.
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Who will win the 2021 Grand National? It’s the question we’re all asking, and without the aid of a crystal ball we’re all forced to study the form, statistics and trends to help us find the winner.
Grand National winners, and those horses who place, generally fall into certain trends. I look at those trends and rule out those who don’t quite fit the criteria although I always tip one or two outsiders who have the potential to defy the odds.
On this page we will feature the horses who we think can run a big race. We backed Tiger Roll in both 2019 and 2018!
Here you can read a little more about how we narrow down the field of runners to find a potential winner. That’s not to say that finding the winner is easy, the race still remains one of the most open contests in sport. But with the application of statistics and trends we can discount runners who don’t fit into the historical winners profile. Usually this leaves use with a shortlist of 10 or fewer horses who have the ‘right stuff’ to win at Aintree.
The first criteria is the Runner’s age. The Aintree Grand National fences require a level of maturity from the horses that usually comes with age and experience. So first off, eliminate all of those horses that are younger than eight or older than 11 years of age. In the last 20 years, 19 of the winners have come from that age group. Only Amberleigh House house bucked the trend in 2004 when winning at the ripe old age of 12.
The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair crack at winning the race. Good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability. Historically horses carrying over 11 stone 3 pounds have struggled to overcome this handicap. Only four horses in the last 20 years have managed it and they were Tiger Roll in 2019, Many Clouds in 2015, Neptune Collonges in 2012 and Don’t Push It in 2010.
In fact, 6 of the last 10 winners have weighed less than 11-01 so before you place a bet, bare that in mind when you’re trying to reduce your selections.
It really does help if the horse you have backed has previously run and done well at Aintree, preferably over the Grand National Fences. So whether they’ve run the race in the past or taken part in the Becher Chase or the Topham Chase, if they’ve successfully navigated the course and finished the race then it proves they have the jumping ability to make it around again.
When it comes to form, you need to look closely at how a horse has been performing for the last couple of seasons. Those who consistently get pulled up, fall, unseat their riders or refuse need to be taken out of the equation. The 2014 winner, Pineau De Re had only fallen once in the two years prior to his big win and had never pulled up, refused or unseated his jockey at any point in his entire career.
Battlegroup, on the other hand, had Refused and Pulled-Up twice in his three races immediately prior to the National. So it wasn’t surprising news when he refused to race in the 2014 Grand National. He planted his feet at the starting line and wouldn’t budge! A huge disappointment for all those who backed him.